The good, the bad, and the ugly about my predications of this past Saturday's doubleheader on Showtime (Travis Simms vs. Joachim Alcine and Vic Darchinyan vs. Nonito Donaire):
The Ugly - I was too high on Simms. The man still has plenty of natural talent, but he's not as well rounded as I thought he was. Against Alcine he only had one gear, he clinched more than Paulie Malignaggi, and he made no real adjustments throughout the fight. Not to mention his post-fight interview - in which he insisted that his conqueror was still only an amateur - was disgraceful.
The Bad - I picked the wrong fight to include in my The Summer's About To Get Hot piece. I thought Simms vs. Alcine had potential to be a great fight and it ended up being a fairly boring clinch-fest. I threw Darchinyan vs. Donaire in the honorable mentions and it ended up being the shocker of the year. I wanted to put the match up as one to look out for, but at the time I knew nothing about Donaire, and nothing I saw on his record jumped out at me. I did manage to get my hands on an early '06 ShoBox fight he was in and by the weekend I realized I made a mistake. This kid had some very nice tools. Which leads me to...
The Good - Money! Nonito Donaire was a +800 underdog the day of the fight (for those who aren't gambling degenerates, that means you get 8 times the amount of money you put up if you win - or in other words, $800 if you put up $100). It's extremely rare you see a betting line like that in a fight that isn't a complete mismatch. The odds makers apparently weren't aware that Nonito was no joke, and being the opportunist that I am, I took advantage to rake in $720. Then I quickly put a hundred on Alcine beating Simms by decision, which also had out of whack odds at +575. At the end of the night, I put in $90 and came out with $1,380.
Now that I'm done patting myself on the back, props must go to Mr. Donaire for an unbelievable performance and that grotesquely beautiful counter left hook that separated Vic from his senses. The young man has plenty of options at flyweight and super flyweight and I look forward to watching him in the future. Props also to Mr. Alcine, for doing what he could against the incessant clinching and spoiling tactics of Travis Simms to pull out a convincing decision. Although Jr. Middle is pretty much a wasteland, he's more than a formidable challenge to anyone willing to step up from welter, or to any of the big dogs at middleweight if he chooses to move up himself.
It's never felt so right to be so wrong.
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1 comment:
Congratulations on your winnings.
Nonito Donaire showed what Pinoy boxing is all about in his bout against Darchinyan. He proved that Vic is not as invincible as he believes himself to be. Vic should also think about defense when he is training for a fight.
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